Conference League
Oct 2, 2024 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Samu 7' goal
  • Gustavo 36' goal
  • Tiago Silva 62' goal
  • yellowcard Armandas Kucys 70'
  • yellowcard Edmilson 87'
  • goal Aljosa Matko 90'+2'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Celje - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Celje

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Celje had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 45.95% (+0.23)
Draw 24.53% (-0.06)
Celje 29.51% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.97% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.36% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 45.63% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 32.04% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 67.95% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 16.1% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 83.89% (-0.12)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 80.04% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 19.95% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 47.88% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 52.11% (-0.27)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5 71.17% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 28.82% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 35.32% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 64.68% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 45.95%
Draw 24.52%
Celje 29.51%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.29% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.47% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.99% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.01% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.11% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.01% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.62% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 45.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.78% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.52%
Celje
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 29.51%

Head to Head

Conference League
Aug 3, 2023 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Andre Silva 35' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 41' yellowcard
  • Mahamadou Tounkara 43' yellowcard
  • Jorge Fernandes 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luka Bobicanec 18'
  • yellowcard David Zec 20'
  • yellowcard Damjan Vuklisevic 35'
  • yellowcard Mark Zabukovnik 45'+3'
  • goal Gregor Bajde 65'
  • yellowcard Edmilson 96'
  • yellowcard Lovro Bizjak 110'
  • yellowcard Matjaz Rozman 119'
Conference League
Jul 27, 2023 7.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT Stadion Z'dezele
  • Luka Bobicanec 1' goal
  • Luka Bobicanec 45' yellowcard
  • Aljosa Matko 59' goal
  • David Zec 69' yellowcard
  • Edmilson 90'+6' goal
  • goal Jota Silva 25'
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 33'
  • goal Andre Silva 35'
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 67'
  • goal Andre Amaro 70'
  • goal Goncalo Nogueira 80'