Celje

3 - 1

Nafta

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Nafta had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Nafta win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.