Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Celje had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%).