Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.