Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Flora had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Flora win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celje in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celje.