Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for SSC Farul had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flora win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest SSC Farul win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.