Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stadionul Central

SSC Farul
3 - 2
Urartu

Baluta (27'), Mazilu (45+4'), Larie (90+5')
Popescu (60'), Vitor Ferreira Mosca (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Maksimenko (23'), Zotko (38')
Piloyan (34'), Zotko (43'), Grigoryan (59'), Antwi (77'), Aghasaryan (90')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between SSC Farul and Urartu.

Form, Standings, Stats

SSC Farul

All competitions
Last Game: SSC Farul 4-1 Voluntari
Saturday, July 22 at 4.15pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Urartu

All competitions
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 2-3 Urartu (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSC Farul win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Urartu had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a SSC Farul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Urartu win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SSC Farul would win this match.

Result
SSC FarulDrawUrartu
51.45% (-0.2 -0.2)24.49% (0.056999999999999 0.06)24.06% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.42% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.55% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)49.45% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (-0.09 -0.09)71.49% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
SSC Farul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (-0.117 -0.12)19.21% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.1% (-0.194 -0.19)50.9% (0.197 0.2)
Urartu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.89% (0.072000000000003 0.07)35.11% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14% (0.074000000000002 0.07)71.86% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    SSC Farul 51.44%
    Urartu 24.06%
    Draw 24.49%
SSC FarulDrawUrartu
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 24.06%