Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shamrock Rovers.