Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.42%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celje in this match.