MX23RW : Friday, October 4 08:34:50| >> :120:44690:44690:
Slovan Bratislava
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Tehelne pole
Celje

Slovan Bratislava
5 - 0
Celje

Tolic (17'), Strelec (30', 72'), Mak (60'), Barseghyan (75')
Tolic (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dulca (90+2')
Vuklisevic (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Slovan Bratislava and Celje, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Komarno 1-4 Slovan Bratislava
Saturday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Celje 1-1 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 24 at 7.15pm in Champions League

We said: Slovan Bratislava 2-1 Celje

Slovan Bratislava would have been pleased with the first-leg draw, especially as they played the majority of the game with a numerical advantage. We think the Slovakian champions will now make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow win and advance into the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Celje had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.

Result
Slovan BratislavaDrawCelje
37.86% (-0.222 -0.22) 24.9% (0.032 0.03) 37.24% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 58.13% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-0.139 -0.14)45.18% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.134 -0.13)67.52% (0.13499999999999 0.13)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)23.59% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.33% (-0.26 -0.26)57.67% (0.263 0.26)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.042000000000002 0.04)23.92% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (0.056999999999995 0.06)58.13% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Slovan Bratislava 37.86%
    Celje 37.24%
    Draw 24.89%
Slovan BratislavaDrawCelje
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.88% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 37.86%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03%
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.24%

How you voted: Slovan Bratislava vs Celje

Slovan Bratislava
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Celje
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2024 7.15pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Celje
1-1
Slovan Bratislava
Bobicanec (7')
Karnicnik (74')
Strelec (11')
Takac (4'), j. Weiss (31'), Mak (45'), Mak (56')
Savvidis (31')
rhs 2.0
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