Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Celje had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.