Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Celje had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Celje win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Pyunik in this match.