Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Celje had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Celje win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Pyunik in this match.

Result
FC Pyunik	Draw	Celje
42.04% ( -0.07)	25.31% ( 0.01)	32.65% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 55.82% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.19% (

-0.05)

47.8% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.01% (

-0.05)

69.99% (

0.05)

FC Pyunik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.35% (

-0.06)

22.65% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.72% (

-0.09)

56.28% (

0.09)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

0.01)

27.84% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

0.01)

63.43% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

FC Pyunik 42.04%

Celje 32.65%

Draw 25.31%

FC Pyunik	Draw	Celje
1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.04%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 32.65%