UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 24, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stadion Biljanini Izvori

Struga
2 - 1
Pyunik

(FC Pyunik win 4-3 on aggregate)

Ibraimi (8' pen.), Spirovski (73')
Muhammed Kehinde (21'), Spirovski (74'), Jevtoski (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Villela (23' pen.)
Malheiro Fabiao Maia (29')
Vakulenko (60')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Struga and FC Pyunik.

Form, Standings, Stats

Struga

Last Game: Struga 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 17 at 4pm in Champions League

FC Pyunik

Last Game: Pyunik 0-1 Dinamo Minsk
Tuesday, July 16 at 5pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Struga win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Struga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Struga would win this match.

Result
Struga	Draw	FC Pyunik
39.61% ( 0.01)	27.04% ( -0.03)	33.34% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.42% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.16% (

0.11)

54.83% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.86% (

0.09)

76.13% (

-0.09)

Struga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

0.05)

27.07% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

0.07)

62.44% (

-0.07)

FC Pyunik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.13% (

0.07)

30.87% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.85% (

0.08)

67.15% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Struga 39.61%

FC Pyunik 33.34%

Draw 27.04%

Struga	Draw	FC Pyunik
1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 39.61%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.34%