UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade de Luxembourg

Swift Hesperange
2 - 1
Struga

(Struga win 4-3 on aggregate)

Hemkemeier (70'), Akhalaia (90+4')
Skenderovic (23'), Nouvier (55'), Martins (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ibraimi (17')
Shabani (34'), Maliki (82'), Kjosevski (90+10')
Radeski (15')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Swift Hesperange and Struga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swift Hesperange

Last Game: Struga 3-1 Swift Hesperange
Thursday, August 10 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Struga

Last Game: Struga 3-1 Swift Hesperange
Thursday, August 10 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swift Hesperange win with a probability of 55.27%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Struga had a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swift Hesperange win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Struga win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swift Hesperange would win this match.

Result
Swift Hesperange	Draw	Struga
55.27% ( -1.13)	23% ( 0.68)	21.73% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 54.31% (

-1.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.45% (

-2.44)

45.55% (

2.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.12% (

-2.37)

67.88% (

2.37)

Swift Hesperange Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.66% (

-1.23)

16.34% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.06% (

-2.28)

45.94% (

2.28)

Struga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.92% (

-0.95)

35.08% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.17% (

-1.01)

71.83% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Swift Hesperange 55.27%

Struga 21.73%

Draw 22.99%

Swift Hesperange	Draw	Struga
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.27%	1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.99%	0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 21.73%