UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 10, 2023 at 4pm UK

Gradska Plaza Stadium

Struga
3 - 1
Swift Hesperange

(Struga win 4-3 on aggregate)

Ibraimi (22', 40' pen., 77' pen.)
Radic (23'), Krivanjeva (41'), Bojku (67'), Shabani (71'), Tairi (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Stolz (46')
R (63'), R (63'), Czekanowicz (76')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Struga and Swift Hesperange.

Form, Standings, Stats

Struga

Last Game: Buducnost 3-4 Struga
Tuesday, August 1 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Swift Hesperange

Last Game: Swift Hesperange 3-2 New Saints
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swift Hesperange win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Struga had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swift Hesperange win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Struga win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Struga	Draw	Swift Hesperange
29.77%	27.01%	43.22%

Both teams to score 49.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.28%

55.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.14%

76.86%

Struga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17%

33.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.5%

70.5%

Swift Hesperange Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.44%

25.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.58%

60.42%

Score Analysis

Struga 29.77%

Swift Hesperange 43.21%

Draw 27%

Struga	Draw	Swift Hesperange
1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.77%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27%	0-1 @ 11.79% 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-2 @ 8.05% 1-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.21%