Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar
1 - 2
Pyunik

Trenskow (44')
Hummet (81'), Romarinho (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Juricic (55'), Bravo (81')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Kalmar and FC Pyunik.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kalmar 1-0 Varbergs
Sunday, July 23 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Trans 0-3 Pyunik
Thursday, July 20 at 4.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
KalmarDrawFC Pyunik
42.11% (0.199 0.2)26.39% (-0.029 -0.03)31.49% (-0.17 -0.17)
Both teams to score 51.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (0.072000000000003 0.07)52.69% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (0.059999999999999 0.06)74.33% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (0.134 0.13)24.76% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (0.186 0.19)59.32% (-0.188 -0.19)
FC Pyunik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)31.03% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)67.34% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 42.11%
    FC Pyunik 31.49%
    Draw 26.39%
KalmarDrawFC Pyunik
1-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 31.49%

How you voted: Kalmar vs Pyunik

Kalmar
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
FC Pyunik
16.7%
12
rhs 2.0


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