UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 20, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Rakvere linnastaadion

Trans
0 - 3
Pyunik

(FC Pyunik win 5-0 on aggregate)

Nikolajev (70')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Dashyan (8'), Juninho (14'), Juricic (66')
Juninho (15')

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Narva Trans and FC Pyunik.

Form, Standings, Stats

Narva Trans

Last Game: Pyunik 2-0 Trans
Thursday, July 13 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

FC Pyunik

Last Game: Pyunik 2-0 Trans
Thursday, July 13 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 76.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Narva Trans had a probability of 7.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.36%) and 0-3 (11.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Narva Trans win it was 1-0 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Pyunik would win this match.

Result
Narva Trans	Draw	FC Pyunik
7.01% ( -0.07)	16.19% ( -0.14)	76.8% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 35.78% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.68% (

0.36)

48.32% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.53% (

0.33)

70.47% (

-0.33)

Narva Trans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.09% (

0.05)

59.91% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.39% (

0.03)

90.61% (

-0.03)

FC Pyunik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.25% (

0.16)

10.75% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.28% (

0.34)

34.72% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Narva Trans 7.01%

FC Pyunik 76.78%

Draw 16.19%

Narva Trans	Draw	FC Pyunik
1-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 7.01%	1-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 16.19%	0-2 @ 16.01% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 14.36% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 11.9% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 6.64% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 2.96% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 76.78%