Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Sportni park Lendava
Domzale

Nafta
5 - 2
Domzale

Zsombor (43'), Georgievski (45', 49'), Szalay (59'), Klausz (65')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Krstovski (2'), Tojcic (20' og.)
Rantusa Lampreht (57')
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Nafta and NK Domzale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bravo 2-0 Nafta
Monday, August 26 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Domzale 0-3 Koper
Saturday, August 24 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Domzale win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Nafta had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Domzale win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Nafta win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
NaftaDrawNK Domzale
34.42% (-0.178 -0.18)25.06% (0.091000000000001 0.09)40.52% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 57.2% (-0.357 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.76% (-0.45 -0.45)46.24% (0.452 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (-0.425 -0.43)68.53% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
Nafta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (-0.315 -0.31)26% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.98% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)61.02% (0.431 0.43)
NK Domzale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (-0.152 -0.15)22.71% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (-0.227 -0.23)56.37% (0.229 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Nafta 34.42%
    NK Domzale 40.52%
    Draw 25.06%
NaftaDrawNK Domzale
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.127 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.74% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.49% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.52%