Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Primorje win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for NK Domzale had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Primorje win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest NK Domzale win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Primorje would win this match.