Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radomlje win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for NK Domzale had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radomlje win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest NK Domzale win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Radomlje in this match.