Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 1
Jul 21, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Ljudski vrt
Domzale

Maribor
4 - 1
Domzale

Grlic (7'), Jakupovic (26', 90+2'), Barisic (90+4')
Bozic (42'), Milec (85'), Feta (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Krstovski (83' pen.)
Sturm (35'), Nwankwo (85'), Juncaj (85'), Alen Tolic (90+2'), Bobaric (90')
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Maribor and NK Domzale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

All competitions
Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Maribor 2-2 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 18 at 7.15pm in Europa League

NK Domzale

All competitions
Last Game: Aluminij 1-3 Domzale
Saturday, May 18 at 2pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for NK Domzale had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a NK Domzale win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.

Result
MariborDrawNK Domzale
64.93% (0.059000000000012 0.06)19.23% (-0.02 -0.02)15.84% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.28% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.3% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)37.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.06%59.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.08% (0.01400000000001 0.01)10.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.9% (0.031999999999996 0.03)35.09% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
NK Domzale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)36.82% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)73.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 64.93%
    NK Domzale 15.84%
    Draw 19.23%
MariborDrawNK Domzale
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.28% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 64.93%
1-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.23%
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 15.84%

Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 33
Domzale
1-1
Maribor
Klemencic (78')
Nwankwo (41'), Offenbacher (46'), Sturm (71')
Jakupovic (38')
Ilicic (49'), Repas (90+2')
Mar 2, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Maribor
3-0
Domzale
Soudani (35', 79'), Jakupovic (42')
Sirvys (49'), Vrhovec (67')
Nov 4, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Domzale
1-2
Maribor
Krstovski (11')
Lorber (45+1'), Soudani (47')
Lorber (82'), Lausic (88'), Pihler (90+1'), Jug (90+5')
Aug 26, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 6
Maribor
1-1
Domzale
Ilicic (45+1' pen.)
Lorber (64'), Guerrico (83'), Guerrico (83')
Sturm (9')
Repas (38'), Dapo (69')