Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 5
Aug 17, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
SRC Bonifika

Koper
3 - 0
Nafta

Mijailovic (51'), Petrisko (55'), Omladic (77')
Mateo Lovric (5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Koper and Nafta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Koper

All competitions
Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Bravo 1-0 Koper
Monday, August 12 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Nafta

All competitions
Last Game: Nafta 0-3 Primorje
Saturday, August 10 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Koper win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Nafta had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Koper win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Nafta win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Koper would win this match.

Result
KoperDrawNafta
39.49% (-2.584 -2.58)24.68% (0.12 0.12)35.83% (2.463 2.46)
Both teams to score 58.83% (0.136 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.76% (-0.061 -0.06)44.23% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.38% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)66.61% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Koper Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-1.263 -1.26)22.34% (1.263 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-1.928 -1.93)55.82% (1.929 1.93)
Nafta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (1.384 1.38)24.25% (-1.385 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (1.921 1.92)58.61% (-1.923 -1.92)
Score Analysis
    Koper 39.49%
    Nafta 35.83%
    Draw 24.67%
KoperDrawNafta
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.294 -0.29)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.293 -0.29)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.464 -0.46)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.359 -0.36)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.49%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.67%
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.355 0.36)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.32 0.32)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.431 0.43)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.312 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.131 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.296 0.3)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.159 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.085 0.09)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 35.83%