Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 28, 2024 at 6pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Cassiano (39' pen.)
Pedro Goulart Silva (45'), Zolotic (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedro Goulart Silva (49' og.)
Manuel Gomes Borges (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-3 Porto
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
21.36% ( 0.84)	25.39% ( 0.26)	53.25% ( -1.1)

Both teams to score 46.62% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.5% (

-0.09)

55.5% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.32% (

-0.07)

76.68% (

0.07)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.91% (

0.84)

41.09% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.37% (

0.73)

77.63% (

-0.73)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.13% (

-0.48)

20.87% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.44% (

-0.76)

53.56% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 21.36%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.24%

Draw 25.39%

Casa Pia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.36%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 13.43% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 10.52% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.5% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.24%