Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Miguel Lopes 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 49'
  • goal Henrique Martins Pereira 61'

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 8.30pm
Benfica 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kikas

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 3.30pm
Casa Pia 0 - 2 Santa Clara
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Cassiano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Estrela Amadora 49.85% (-0.05)
Draw 25.01% (-0.01)
Casa Pia 25.14% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.95% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.38% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 50.62% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 27.47% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 72.53% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.96% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.04% (-0.04)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 79.68% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.32% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 47.3% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.69% (-0.01)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 65.19% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 34.81% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 28.46% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 71.54% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 49.85%
Draw 25%
Casa Pia 25.14%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.04%
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 25%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.28% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.94% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 25.14%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 8.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Kikas 57' goal
  • Kikas 75' goal
  • Andre Luiz 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Lameiras 77'
  • goal Yuki Soma 86'
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Neto 16' yellowcard
  • goal 73'
  • goal Ronaldo Tavares 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo Tavares 90'+4'