Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 22, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Casa Pia

Fujimoto (43')
Cruz (82'), Toure (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cassiano (85' pen.)
Tchamba (12'), Fonte (24'), Cassiano (90+5'), Larrazabal (90+5'), Sequeira (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Moreirense
Saturday, September 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Casa Pia
51.8% ( -0.18)	24.46% ( 0.1)	23.74% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 52.17% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.39% (

-0.31)

49.61% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37% (

-0.28)

71.63% (

0.28)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.86% (

-0.19)

19.13% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.23% (

-0.32)

50.77% (

0.32)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.52% (

-0.09)

35.48% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.75% (

-0.1)

72.25% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 51.79%

Casa Pia 23.74%

Draw 24.46%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 51.79%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.46%	0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.74%