Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.