Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 16
Nov 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
1 - 2
Motor Lublin

Mroz (58')
Jach (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ceglarz (44' pen.), Mraz (78')
Najemski (23'), Palacz (31')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Motor Lublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, November 9 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-3 Motor Lublin
Friday, November 8 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawMotor Lublin
43.05% (-0.808 -0.81)25.83% (0.133 0.13)31.12% (0.678 0.68)
Both teams to score 53.52% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.48% (-0.288 -0.29)50.52% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (-0.257 -0.26)72.44% (0.259 0.26)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (-0.514 -0.51)23.33% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.71% (-0.753 -0.75)57.29% (0.756 0.76)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.81% (0.324 0.32)30.19% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.65% (0.384 0.38)66.35% (-0.38300000000001 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 43.05%
    Motor Lublin 31.12%
    Draw 25.82%
Zaglebie LubinDrawMotor Lublin
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.082 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.12%