Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 18

Dec 6, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Arena Zabrze

Gornik
2 - 1
Lech Poznan

Zahovic (4'), Lukoszek (14')
Janicki (55'), Ambros (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sousa (13')
Monka (26'), Walemark (65'), Murawski (68'), Sousa (90+3')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions

Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-4 Gornik
Sunday, December 1 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-0 Lech Poznan
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.

Result
Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Lech Poznan
37.94% ( -0.42)	26.05% ( -0.2)	36.02% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 54.05% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.6% (

0.88)

50.4% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.66% (

0.78)

72.33% (

-0.78)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

0.17)

25.93% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

0.24)

60.93% (

-0.24)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97% (

0.79)

27.03% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.61% (

1.02)

62.39% (

-1.02)

Score Analysis

Gornik Zabrze 37.94%

Lech Poznan 36.02%

Draw 26.04%

Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.94%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.02%