Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17

Dec 1, 2024 at 11.15am UK

Suzuki Arena (Kielce)

Korona Kielce
2 - 4
Gornik

Dalmau (83'), Fornalczyk (87')
Hofmeister (8'), Dalmau (36'), Resta Tell (63'), Nagamatsu (63'), Resta Tell (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lukoszek (49', 59'), Ambros (78'), Ismaheel (82')
Buksa (31'), Rasak (46')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions

Last Game: Rakow 1-1 Korona Kielce
Sunday, November 24 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions

Last Game: Gornik 1-0 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, November 24 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Korona Kielce	Draw	Gornik Zabrze
43.64% ( -0.15)	25.86% ( 0.1)	30.5% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.14% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.12% (

-0.4)

50.88% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.24% (

-0.36)

72.76% (

0.36)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8% (

-0.25)

23.21% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.9% (

-0.36)

57.1% (

0.37)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

-0.17)

30.8% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

-0.2)

67.07% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Korona Kielce 43.64%

Gornik Zabrze 30.5%

Draw 25.85%

Korona Kielce	Draw	Gornik Zabrze
1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.64%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.5%