Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 19
Feb 2, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Arena Zabrze

Gornik
1 - 1
Puszcza Niepolomice

Zahovic (38')
Josema (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stepien (87')
Barkovskiy (88')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Puszcza Niepolomice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gornik 2-1 Lech Poznan
Friday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, December 8 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Gornik ZabrzeDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
57.77% (-0.918 -0.92)23.74% (0.179 0.18)18.48% (0.737 0.74)
Both teams to score 47.02% (0.759 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (0.33 0.33)52.7% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (0.28 0.28)74.34% (-0.283 -0.28)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (-0.217 -0.22)18.03% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.08% (-0.369 -0.37)48.91% (0.366 0.37)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (1.074 1.07)42.63% (-1.077 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (0.903 0.9)78.97% (-0.905 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Gornik Zabrze 57.76%
    Puszcza Niepolomice 18.48%
    Draw 23.74%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
1-0 @ 13.16% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-0 @ 11.27% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.44% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 57.76%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.185 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 18.48%

Head to Head
Jul 26, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 2
Puszcza Niepolomice
2-2
Gornik
Kosidis (53'), Serafin (60')
Stepien (70')
Sanchez Garcia (10'), Rasak (56')
Zielonka (50'), Podolski (50')
May 17, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Gornik
1-1
Puszcza Niepolomice
Kapralik (36')
Janza (89')
Pacheco (19')
Bartosz (79')
Firlej (90+1'), Jin-hyun (90+2'), Majchrzak (90+3')
Thiago (89')
Nov 26, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 16
Puszcza Niepolomice
2-1
Gornik
Mrozinski (54'), Siemaszko (71')
Bartosz (24'), Yakuba (28'), Hajda (36'), Craciun (73'), Cichon (86'), Poczobut (90+4')
Yokota (45' pen.)
Nascimento (90+4')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!