Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Moravski Stadion

Puszcza Niepolomice
1 - 1
Jagiellonia

Cholewiak (38')
Kosidis (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nene (64')
Romanczuk (82')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Puszcza Niepolomice and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Saturday, November 30 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 1-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, December 1 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
36.9% (0.904 0.9)24.99% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)38.12% (-0.881 -0.88)
Both teams to score 57.81% (0.136 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (0.146 0.15)45.6% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.08% (0.139 0.14)67.92% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.565 0.56)24.29% (-0.56 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (0.791 0.79)58.67% (-0.786 -0.79)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.39 -0.39)23.64% (0.395 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (-0.569 -0.57)57.74% (0.573 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Puszcza Niepolomice 36.9%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 38.12%
    Draw 24.99%
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.123 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.13% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.151 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.114 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 36.9%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.99%
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 38.12%

Head to Head
Jul 19, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 1
Jagiellonia
2-0
Puszcza Niepolomice
Nene (78'), Diaby-Fadiga (90+8')
Skrzypczak (55'), Diaby-Fadiga (87'), Abramowicz (90+5')

Abramowicz (41'), Craciun (76'), Stepien (83')
Dec 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Puszcza Niepolomice
3-3
Jagiellonia
Siemaszko (50'), Craciun (63' pen., 83' pen.)
Zapolnik (42'), Stepien (69'), Mesanovic (84'), Cholewiak (89')
Wdowik (9'), Nene (17'), Imaz (28')
Skrzypczak (14'), Romanczuk (69')
Romanczuk (80')
Jul 29, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Jagiellonia
4-1
Puszcza Niepolomice
Laski (45+2'), Nene (66'), Pululu (81'), Lewicki (88')
Matysik (75'), Wdowik (87'), Kupisz (90+5')
Solowiej (76')