Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 19
Jan 31, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion MOS Poznan

Lech Poznan
4 - 1
Widzew Lodz

Sousa (5', 50'), Ishak (45+5', 80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kozlovsky (52')
Sypek (45+12')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gornik 2-1 Lech Poznan
Friday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-1 Stal Mielec
Saturday, December 7 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawWidzew Lodz
49.69% (0.012 0.01)23.72% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)26.58% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.45% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.63% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)66.36% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.2% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.48% (0.0049999999999955 0)48.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-0.012 -0.01)30.1% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)66.24% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 49.7%
    Widzew Lodz 26.58%
    Draw 23.72%
Lech PoznanDrawWidzew Lodz
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 49.7%
1-1 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 26.58%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 2
Widzew Lodz
2-1
Lech Poznan
Sypek (3'), Alvarez (10')
Kastrati (8'), Zyro (14')
Ishak (42')
Milic (9'), Fiabema (88')
May 19, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Widzew Lodz
1-1
Lech Poznan
Rondic (43' pen.)
Cigaņiks (7'), Rondic (10'), Milos (90+9')
Velde (21')
Velde (18'), Mrozek (41'), Kvekveskiri (80'), Szymczak (84')
Nov 26, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lech Poznan
1-3
Widzew Lodz
Karlstrom (88')
Milic (79'), Murawski (90')
Alvarez (16'), Klimek (90+3'), Pawlowski (90+6')
Silva (15'), Kun (51'), Pawlowski (82')