Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
1 - 2
Szczecin

Matras (89')
Wlazlo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Koulouris (54'), Przyborek (65')
Borges (42'), Smolinski (86'), Lisowski (90+5')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-1 Jagiellonia
Friday, February 7 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Szczecin 3-0 Gornik
Friday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 41%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Stal MielecDrawPogon Szczecin
33.09% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)25.91% (0.026 0.03)41% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 54% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (-0.125 -0.13)50.23% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.11 -0.11)72.18% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.122 -0.12)28.74% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.152 -0.15)64.58% (0.152 0.15)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)58.57% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 33.09%
    Pogon Szczecin 41%
    Draw 25.9%
Stal MielecDrawPogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.09%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 41%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 4
Szczecin
1-0
Stal Mielec
Gorgon (85')
Ulvestad (27')

Guillaumier (17'), Gerbowski (30'), Wolkowicz (57'), Shkurin (74')
May 17, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 33
Stal Mielec
0-0
Szczecin
Shkurin (82')
Loncar (90+3')
Nov 25, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Szczecin
2-3
Stal Mielec
Bichakhchyan (21'), Koulouris (27')
Shkurin (6', 55', 84')
Ehmann (42')