Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 19
Jan 31, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadion ul. Bukowa

Katowice
1 - 0
Stal Mielec

Wasielewski (62')
Kuusk (74'), Komor (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dadok (29')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Katowice and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-1 Katowice
Friday, December 6 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-1 Stal Mielec
Saturday, December 7 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Katowice in this match.

Result
KatowiceDrawStal Mielec
47.72% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)25.57% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)26.71% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)51.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)73.52% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Katowice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)21.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)54.85% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (0.0020000000000095 0)34.11% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21%70.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Katowice 47.71%
    Stal Mielec 26.71%
    Draw 25.57%
KatowiceDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 47.71%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 26.71%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2024 1.45pm
Gameweek 2
Stal Mielec
0-1
Katowice
Jedrych (31' pen.)