Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Nov 30, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion ul. Bukowa

Katowice
2 - 0
Gdansk

Jedrych (15'), Bergier (43')
Blad (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Khlan (1')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Katowice and Lechia Gdansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Katowice
Saturday, November 23 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Last Game: Gdansk 0-3 Szczecin
Saturday, November 23 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Katowice would win this match.

Result
KatowiceDrawLechia Gdansk
53.7% (-0.488 -0.49)22.96% (0.145 0.15)23.33% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 56.56% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.43% (-0.274 -0.27)43.57% (0.272 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.04% (-0.268 -0.27)65.96% (0.267 0.27)
Katowice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)16.18% (0.265 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.35% (-0.486 -0.49)45.65% (0.486 0.49)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (0.149 0.15)32.52% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95% (0.167 0.17)69.05% (-0.169 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Katowice 53.7%
    Lechia Gdansk 23.33%
    Draw 22.95%
KatowiceDrawLechia Gdansk
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.7%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.062 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.32% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 23.33%