Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Katowice would win this match.