Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 20
Feb 7, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
2 - 1
Jagiellonia

Dadok (22'), Wlazlo (29' pen.)
Getinger (89'), Wlazlo (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pululu (14')
Stojinovic (55'), Moutinho (75')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Katowice 1-0 Stal Mielec
Friday, January 31 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 5-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, February 2 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stal Mielec would win this match.

Result
Stal MielecDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
41.63% (-0.342 -0.34)25.56% (0.113 0.11)32.8% (0.226 0.23)
Both teams to score 55.05% (-0.304 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (-0.429 -0.43)48.83% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (-0.39 -0.39)70.93% (0.387 0.39)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (-0.357 -0.36)23.29% (0.353 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77% (-0.52 -0.52)57.22% (0.516 0.52)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)28.23% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)63.94% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 41.63%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 32.8%
    Draw 25.55%
Stal MielecDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.8%

How you voted: Stal Mielec vs Jagiellonia

Stal Mielec
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Jagiellonia
2-0
Stal Mielec
Pululu (24'), Imaz (66')
Pululu (31'), Nguiamba (44'), Marczuk (90')

Gerbowski (66')
May 4, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 31
Stal Mielec
3-2
Jagiellonia
Shkurin (35'), Matras (48'), Gerstenstein (54')
Nene (12'), Pululu (75')
Skrzypczak (63'), Nguiamba (74')
Nov 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Jagiellonia
4-0
Stal Mielec
Normann Hansen (19'), Wdowik (23' pen., 83'), Matras (79' og.)
Marczuk (50')

Santos (58'), Esselink (82')