Conference League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Adidas Arena

Mlada Boleslav
1 - 0
Jagiellonia

Vydra (76')
Stransky (9'), Brannstrom (10'), Suchy (32'), Vojta (70'), Imaz (89'), Diaby-Fadiga (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vojta (77'), Nene (88'), Pulkrab (90+8'), Kusej (90+1')
Dieguez (90+6')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Mlada Boleslav and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Mlada Boleslav win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Mlada BoleslavDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
35.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)40.91% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 61.17% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.87% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)41.13% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)63.53% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Mlada Boleslav Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)23.22% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)57.13% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)52.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Mlada Boleslav 35.1%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 40.91%
    Draw 24%
Mlada BoleslavDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.99% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 40.91%

How you voted: Mlada Boleslav vs Jagiellonia

Mlada Boleslav
25.0%
Draw
33.3%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
41.7%
24
rhs 2.0


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