Conference League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Adidas Arena
Lugano

Mlada Boleslav
0 - 1
Lugano

FT(HT: 0-1)
Steffen (38')
Hajdari (90+8'), Bottani (90+8')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Mlada Boleslav and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yverdon Sport 2-0 Lugano
Sunday, October 20 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Mlada Boleslav win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
Mlada BoleslavDrawLugano
25.39% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)22.22% (-0.004999999999999 -0)52.39% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)38.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)60.31% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Mlada Boleslav Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.86% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (-0.012 -0.01)63.46% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (0.010000000000005 0.01)14.67% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.17% (0.021999999999998 0.02)42.83% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Mlada Boleslav 25.39%
    Lugano 52.39%
    Draw 22.21%
Mlada BoleslavDrawLugano
2-1 @ 6.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 25.39%
1-1 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 6.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 52.39%

How you voted: Mlada Boleslav vs Lugano

Mlada Boleslav
18.8%
Draw
37.5%
Lugano
43.8%
16
rhs 2.0


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