Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Sion had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Sion win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.