Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Luzern
44.2% ( 0.01)	23.8% ( 0.01)	31.99% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.85% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.89% (

-0.05)

41.11% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.49% (

-0.06)

63.51% (

0.06)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.13% (

-0.02)

18.87% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.66% (

-0.03)

50.34% (

0.04)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01% (

-0.03)

24.99% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.36% (

-0.05)

59.64% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Lugano 44.2%

Luzern 31.99%

Draw 23.8%

Lugano	Draw	Luzern
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.2%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.99%