Swiss Super League | Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Lugano3 - 1Servette
We said: Lugano 2-2 Servette
With Servette being forced into a change at centre-back and possibly a left-back alteration, an already shaky backline for the visitors could leak more goals against Lugano. However, they should have enough to extend their undefeated league run against the hosts to eight, having last suffered a loss to the Bianconeri in October 2022. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Servette had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Servette win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Servette |
38.07% ( 0.17) | 25.7% ( 0.07) | 36.23% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
