Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Servette had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Servette win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Servette
38.07% ( 0.17)	25.7% ( 0.07)	36.23% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 55.25% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14% (

-0.31)

48.86% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04% (

-0.29)

70.96% (

0.29)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

-0.05)

25.15% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13% (

-0.07)

59.86% (

0.07)

Servette Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

-0.28)

26.18% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.73% (

-0.38)

61.26% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Lugano 38.07%

Servette 36.23%

Draw 25.7%

Lugano	Draw	Servette
1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.07%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 36.23%