Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sion win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.