Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Adidas Arena

Mlada Boleslav
1 - 1
H. Be'er Sheva

Vydra (39' pen.)
Masek (14'), Kostka (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hatuel (21'), Yosefi (50')
Turgeman (36'), Lopes (90+1'), Shushenachev (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Mlada Boleslav and Hapoel Be'er Sheva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mlada Boleslav win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mlada Boleslav win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Mlada BoleslavDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
38.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)25.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)36.52% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.64% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)45.8% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88% (0.0040000000000013 0)68.11% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Mlada Boleslav Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)23.56% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)57.62% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.016999999999996 0.02)24.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91% (0.025999999999996 0.03)59.09% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mlada Boleslav 38.45%
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 36.52%
    Draw 25.02%
Mlada BoleslavDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.45%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 36.52%

rhs 2.0


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