Conference League
Nov 7, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Tiago Silva 40' goal
  • Oscar Rivas 60' goal
  • Bruno Varela 65' yellowcard
  • goal Vasil Kusej 72'
  • yellowcard Matyas Vojta 77'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Mlada Boleslav - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 24, 2024 5.45pm
Djurgarden 1 - 2 Guimaraes

Mlada Boleslav

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 24, 2024 8.00pm
Mlada Boleslav 0 - 1 Lugano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Mlada Boleslav win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 65.85% (+0.02)
Draw 19.96% (-0.01)
Mlada Boleslav 14.19% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.5% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.44% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 44.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.07% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 66.93% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.85% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.15% (+0.01)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 87.31% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 12.68%
Over 1.5 61.12% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 38.88%

Mlada Boleslav Goals

Over 0.5 56.69% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 43.31% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 20.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.55% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 65.84%
Draw 19.96%
Mlada Boleslav 14.19%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 11.71% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 11.34% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.06% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 65.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 19.96%
Mlada Boleslav
0-1 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.19%