Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Mlada Boleslav win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Mlada Boleslav
65.85% ( 0.01)	19.96% ( -0)	14.19% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.5% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.44% (

-0.01)

44.56% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.07% (

-0.01)

66.93% (

0.01)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.31% (

-0)

12.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.12% (

-0)

38.88%

Mlada Boleslav Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69% (

-0.03)

43.31% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.45% (

-0.02)

79.55% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 65.84%

Mlada Boleslav 14.19%

Draw 19.96%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Mlada Boleslav
2-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.11% Total : 65.84%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.96%	0-1 @ 4.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.19%