Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 27, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
2 - 2
Guimaraes

Bucca (45+1'), Pinho (84' pen.)
Ferro (50'), Nani (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Santos (43'), Silva (69' pen.)
Handel (32'), Mendes (75'), Silva (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Anadia 1-3 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Djurgarden 1-2 Guimaraes
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
20.38% ( 0.51)	24.11% ( 0.36)	55.51% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 48.94% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.28% (

-0.8)

51.72% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.5% (

-0.7)

73.49% (

0.69)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.06% (

0.09)

39.94% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.4% (

0.08)

76.6% (

-0.08)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49% (

-0.62)

18.5% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.27% (

-1.06)

49.72% (

1.05)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 20.38%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 55.49%

Draw 24.1%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.38%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 10.51% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.49%