Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 28, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
2 - 1
Moreirense

Bucca (2'), Kikas (20')
Bucca (46'), Cissokho (57'), Varela (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramos (83')
Silva (69'), Nlavo (73'), Miguel Costa Santos (86')
Peixoto (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, September 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Moreirense
41.98% ( -0.45)	27.28% ( -0.14)	30.73% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 48.87% (

0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.58% (

0.72)

56.41% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.57% (

0.58)

77.42% (

-0.59)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.48% (

0.1)

26.52% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.28% (

0.13)

61.72% (

-0.13)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

0.81)

33.48% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88% (

0.88)

70.12% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 41.97%

Moreirense 30.73%

Draw 27.28%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.97%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.73%