Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Boavista |
| 44.15% ( | 27.82% ( | 28.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.62% ( | 59.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.24% ( | 79.76% ( |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% ( | 26.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.97% ( | 62.03% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% ( | 37.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.06% ( | 73.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 13.1% ( 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 44.15% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 2-2 @ 4.24% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 28.03% |