Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 23.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Tondela
51.14%	25.52%	23.34%

Both teams to score 48.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.88%

54.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46%

75.54%

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.81%

21.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.93%

54.07%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.65%

38.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.9%

75.1%

Score Analysis

Boavista 51.13%

Tondela 23.34%

Draw 25.51%

Boavista	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 12.6% 2-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.39% Total : 51.13%	1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 7.79% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.55% Total : 23.34%