Club Friendlies 3

Jul 27, 2024 at 11am UK

Estadio Joao Cardoso

Tondela
2 - 1
Sporting Covilha

Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Tondela and Sporting Covilha.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions

Club Friendlies 3

Last Game: Tondela 1-0 Benfica B
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3

Next Game: Uniao de Leiria vs. Tondela
Friday, August 2 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3

Sporting Covilha

All competitions

Club Friendlies 3

Last Game: Viseu 2-0 Sporting Covilha
Wednesday, July 24 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sporting Covilha win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Sporting Covilha
38.19% ( -2.74)	29.46% ( 0.5)	32.35% ( 2.25)

Both teams to score 43.3% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.42% (

-1.12)

63.58% (

1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.12% (

-0.81)

82.88% (

0.81)

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.8% (

-2.2)

32.2% (

2.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.31% (

-2.58)

68.69% (

2.58)

Sporting Covilha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.87% (

1.07)

36.13% (

-1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.09% (

1.08)

72.91% (

-1.08)

Score Analysis

Tondela 38.19%

Sporting Covilha 32.34%

Draw 29.46%

Tondela	Draw	Sporting Covilha
1-0 @ 13.18% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.62) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.78% Total : 38.19%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.46%	0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.81) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.57) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 32.34%