Tondela
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 21, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Estadio Joao Cardoso

Tondela
1 - 0
Benfica B

FT
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Tondela and Benfica B.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Tondela
Tuesday, January 9 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Tondela vs. Sporting Covilha
Saturday, July 27 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3

Benfica B

All competitions
Last Game: Benfica B 1-1 Mafra
Wednesday, July 17 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Next Game: Benfica B vs. Alverca
Saturday, July 27 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Benfica B had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Benfica B win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tondela in this match.

Result
TondelaDrawBenfica B
38.87% (0.336 0.34)26.91% (-0.116 -0.12)34.21% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Both teams to score 50.99% (0.32100000000001 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (0.422 0.42)54.18% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.352 0.35)75.59% (-0.357 -0.36)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (0.39 0.39)27.17% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (0.50700000000001 0.51)62.58% (-0.513 -0.51)
Benfica B Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.063000000000002 0.06)29.97% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (0.078999999999994 0.08)66.08% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Tondela 38.87%
    Benfica B 34.21%
    Draw 26.91%
TondelaDrawBenfica B
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 3% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.87%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 34.21%