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Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 7, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio do Bessa
Tondela

Boavista
1 - 1
Tondela

Elis (87')
Castro (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gonzalez (77')
Agra (65'), Niasse (72'), Alves (90+1')

Preview: Boavista vs. Tondela - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Boavista will be looking to claim all three points and boost their chances of survival when they host Tondela in the Primeira Liga on Friday evening.

This encounter at the Estadio do Bessa could be a feisty affair, as the Panthers have had a player dismissed in five of their last eight league matches, while a player has been sent off in two of Tondela's previous four games.


Match preview

Jesualdo Ferreira pictured in March 2020© Reuters

Boavista were unable to climb out of the bottom three last weekend as they played out a thrilling 3-3 draw away at Santa Clara.

The Panthers were losing 2-1 and were reduced to 10 men when Nuno Santos was dismissed 25 minutes from time, however Jesualdo Ferreira's side fought back as an unfortunate own goal from goalkeeper Marco Pereira – who was unable to keep out Gustavo Sauer's free-kick – and a second goal of the game from Alberth Elis put them into the lead heading into stoppage time.

Boavista defended desperately in the dying moments but conceded in the 94th minute when Fabio Cardoso's header forced both teams to share the spoils at the Estadio de Sao Miguel.

That result leaves Ferreira's men occupying the relegation playoff position, with just two points separating them from safety and also two points from falling into the drop zone.

Boavista lost 3-1 away at Tondela in January but if they can secure all three points on Friday, then they could jump as high as 13th in the table.

Pako Ayestaran, now in charge of Tondela, pictured in 2016© Reuters

Tondela's three-game unbeaten run in the top-flight was ended last week when they lost 2-0 at home to Portuguese giants Benfica.

First-half strikes from Pizzi and Everton Soares were enough for the Eagles to claim all three points, with Pako Ayestaran's side losing for the 15th time this season.

That result sees Tondela remain in ninth place in the Primeira Liga, six points clear of Friday's opponents Boavista in the relegation playoff position.

Since the Gold and Greens were promoted to the top-flight in 2015-16, they have never finished above 11th in the table, but with just four matches remaining, a strong end to the campaign could see them finish as high as seventh.

Victory on Friday would be just their third away from home this season and could see them climb 11 points clear of the relegation zone.

Boavista Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D

Tondela Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L


Team News

Tondela players challenge for the all against Benfica in June 2020© Reuters

Boavista midfielder Miguel Reisinho remains out with an injury, as does former Manchester City and Benfica man Javi Garcia, while Santos is suspended after being shown two yellow cards in the last match.

Centre-back Jackson Porozo is set to keep his place in the side ahead of Cristian Devenish, while Ricardo Mangas and Yanis Hamache will be in competition to start at left wing-back.

At the other end of the pitch, forwards Elis and Angel Gomes are both likely to start and should offer plenty of threat in the final third.

Tondela winger Jhon Murillo, who missed the defeat against Benfica, is doubtful and will be assessed before kickoff.

Rafael Barbosa, who has scored just once since the turn of the year, could keep his place in the side if Murillo fails to recover.

Central midfielder Jaquite will be pushing to start in the middle of the pitch, but Joao Pedro and Jaume Grau are expected to keep their places in the first XI.

Boavista possible starting lineup:
Leonardo; Porozo, Rami, Awaziem; Cannon, Santos, Cafumana, Sauer, Mangas; Gomes, Elis

Tondela possible starting lineup:
Trigueira; Bebeto, Tavares, Alves, Ferreira; Pedro, Grau; Agra, Barbosa, Olabe; Gonzalez


SM words green background

We say: Boavista 2-2 Tondela

Securing all three points on Friday is crucial for Boavista in their quest to survive, while a win for Tondela could help them cement a top-half finish.

Both sides have struggled defensively in recent weeks and with little to separate the two teams, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards at the Estadio do Bessa.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:446139:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9584:
Written by
Oliver Thomas

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Boavista vs Tondela

Boavista
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Tondela
20.0%
20
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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