Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 21, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Lopes (81')
MT (17'), Lima (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruiz (45+1'), Veiga (64'), Jesus (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, September 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-2 Boavista
Monday, September 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Estrela Amadora
56.57% ( 0.05)	23.95% ( -0.01)	19.48% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.05% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.8% (

-0)

52.2% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.09% (

-0)

73.91% (

0.01)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

0.02)

18.28% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.65% (

0.03)

49.35% (

-0.02)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.8% (

-0.04)

41.19% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.27% (

-0.03)

77.73% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 56.56%

Estrela Amadora 19.48%

Draw 23.95%

Santa Clara	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.56%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.48%